Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.8
	2.5	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.65
	2.51	3.71	2.78
	2.5	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.49	3.74	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.39)	3.53 ↑ (3.47)	2.71 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
38.4%

Draw
26.7%

Stal Mielec
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

19.4%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stal Mielec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Stal Mielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).

The competitors look crappy now.

Podbeskidzie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Podbeskidzie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.09.20	Lechia Gdańsk - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:0 ✺
18.09.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Raków Częstochowa	1:4 ✺
11.09.20	Jagiellonia Białystok - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
30.08.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Cracovia	2:2 ✺
23.08.20	Górnik Zabrze - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTL
- Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.20	Stal Mielec - Piast Gliwice	3:2 ✺
19.09.20	Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec	4:2 ✺
12.09.20	Cracovia - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Stal Mielec - Wisła Kraków	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.08.20	Stal Mielec - Górnik Zabrze	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
30.11.19	Stal Mielec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1
11.08.19	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Stal Mielec	4:1
02.03.19	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Stal Mielec	0:2
17.08.18	Stal Mielec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:1
03.06.18	Stal Mielec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:4
21.11.17	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Stal Mielec	2:3
06.05.17	Stal Mielec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:1

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