Match Info

Division 1 - Round 25

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.4
	2.45	3.55	2.52
	2.65	3.55	2.58
	2.55	3.68	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.45
	2.5	3.32	2.44
	2.54	3.11	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.54)	3.42 ↑ (3.11)	2.48 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
36.4%

Draw
26.7%

Polonia Warsaw
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.7%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kieszek P. (G) 99. Noiszewski K. 16. Gajgier A. 6. Farbiszewski B. 52. Olewinski O. 21. Los K. (C) 77. Adkonis J. 17. Niewiadomski J. 4. Korczakowski I. 71. Szczepaniak M. 9. Gieroba S.	96. Kuchta M. (C) 20. Brasido D. 3. Salihu H. 16. Budnicki J. 97. Janasik P. 8. Wojciechowski O. 7. Vega D. 23. Skrabb S. 10. Mroz M. 99. Durmus I. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
23. Adamczyk H. 30. Barnowski D. 25. Glacel M. (G) 5. Glogowski K. 10. Jaron D. 7. Jedrasik J. 11. Kargulewicz K. 27. Konstantyn J. 13. Lis J.	77. Buksa A. 30. Cisse S. 17. Dadok R. 70. Klukowski A. 90. Kostorz K. 1. Sandach A. (G) 4. Szur P. 24. Terpilowski E. 19. Vasin N.
Coaches
Stokowiec P.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Noiszewski K. ⚽, Korczakowski I. (A),
36', Skrabb S. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Noiszewski K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Durmus I. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
52', Olewinski O. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Skrabb S. ⚽,
67', 3 - 1, Adkonis J. ⚽, Olewinski O. (A),
73', Skrabb S. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Zjawinski L. ⚽, Janasik P. (A),
75', Niewiadomski J. ↓, Konstantyn J. ↑,
75', Korczakowski I. ↓, Adamczyk H. ↑,
78', Brasido D. ↓, Terpilowski E. ↑,
83', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
84', Mroz M. ↓, Vasin N. ↑,
89', Gieroba S. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
89', Adkonis J. ↓, Glogowski K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 3.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Polonia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Warszawa: 6.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
07.03.26	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTTT
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
09.03.26	Polonia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Polonia Warsaw - Stal Mielec	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
30.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1
Club Friendly
05.02.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	1:0
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.05.21	Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2
03.04.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	3:3
13.03.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	1:0
13.09.19	Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1

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