Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	2.41	3.50	2.55	Watch
	1.66	4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.66)	3.75 ↓ (4)	3.08 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
45.4%

Draw
24.6%

Lech Poznań 2
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

22.1%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

21.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's form might have worsened.

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lech Poznań 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lech Poznań 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - over (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Nowe Skalmierzyce is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lech 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nowe Skalmierzyce is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lech Poznan II	9	4	3	2	17:15	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.05.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Luzino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	4:3 ✺
25.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTWLW
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:4 ✺
13.05.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lech Poznań 2	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	6:2 ✺
25.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.11.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1
23.11.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	4:1
03.08.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Lech Poznań 2	2:2

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