Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 29

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Swit Skolwin

	1	X	2
	6.38	5.1	1.37	Watch
	4.91	4.4	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↑ (5)	4.75 ↑ (4.65)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
16.2%

Draw
19.3%

Swit Skolwin
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

19.5%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

19.3%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Swit Skolwin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Kaczmarek D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76+5', 1 - 1, Paczuk P. ⚽,
82+5', 1 - 2, Ropski K. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swit Skolwin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Swit Skolwin is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.05.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Vineta Wolin	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Stolem Gniewino - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLLL
- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.05.24	Swit Skolwin - Starogard Gdański	3:1 ✺
26.04.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Swit Skolwin	0:4 ✺
20.04.24	Swit Skolwin - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Unia Swarzędz - Swit Skolwin	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	Swit Skolwin - Flota Świnoujście	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.10.23	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:0
06.05.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Swit Skolwin	4:2
30.09.22	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	6:0
09.04.22	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1
04.09.21	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Swit Skolwin	0:0

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