Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 1

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play


	Pogoń Szczecin		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.80	3.20	2.45
	2.72	3.2	2.48
	2.87	3.37	2.59
	2.83	3.34	2.54	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.5
	2.76	3.2	2.48	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.92)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
33.8%

Draw
28.7%

Legia Warsaw
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.1%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	19%	66.7%

Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Legia will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Legia (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. (C) 13. Keramitsis D. 41. Szalai At. 4. Leo Borges 16. Dziczek P. 3. Acosta K. 7. Juwara M. 47. Lawa N. 18. Mukairu P. 17. Nsame J.	89. Hindrich O. (G) 91. Piatkowski K. 8. Augustyniak R. 4. Szymanski D. 5. Deziel R. 53. Urbanski W. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 22. Wszolek P. 29. Rajovic M. 19. Vinagre R. 79. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
25. Agger M. 15. Ali H. 6. Bieganski J. 10. Cuic F. 30. Czaplinski J. 11. Grosicki K. 23. Mendy B. 19. Ndiaye M. 75. Ossowski A. 33. Peskovic A. (G) 8. Ulvestad F. 55. Wojciechowski M.	6. Arreiol H. 24. Arsenic Z. 21. Bichakhchyan V. 1. Brkic I. (G) 11. Chodyna K. 99. Kovacik S. 77. Przybylko F. 13. Reca A. 23. Sevcik M. 20. Zewlakow J.
Coaches
Garcia O.	Papszun M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Leo Borges 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Lawa N. ↓, Agger M. ↑,
62', Juwara M. ↓, Ulvestad F. ↑,
62', Nsame J. ↓, Grosicki K. ↑,
67', Urbanski W. 🟨,
81', Zjawinski L. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
81', Kapustka B. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
83', Szymanski D. ↓, Arreiol H. ↑,
88', Vinagre R. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
88', Deziel R. ↓, Arsenic Z. ↑,
90', Mukairu P. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
90', Acosta K. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 1, Arsenic Z. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.

Pogoń Szczecin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Legia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Legia has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Legia: 13.85% Pogon Szczecin: 1.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Legia	9	5	4	0	19:8	11	19
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12:6	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Sturm Graz - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Pogoń Szczecin	4:0 ✺
08.07.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLT
- Legia Warsaw
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Aris Limassol	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
10.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Trenčín	1:0 ✺
07.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
06.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	0:2
Polish Cup
30.10.25	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ET
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.25	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0
Polish Cup
02.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	3:4
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.03.25	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	0:0
20.09.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	1:0
02.03.24	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1

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