Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.25	4.65
	1.56	5.13	3.69
	1.65	4.08	4.12	Watch
	1.6	4.33	4.46	Watch
	1.4	4.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	4.46 ↑ (4.2)	4.53 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
59.3%

Draw
20.5%

Noteć Czarnków
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

21.9%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

21.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Noteć Czarnków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (+2%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Noteć Czarnków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Magdziarz K. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Milachowski K. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Mackowiak M. ⚽,
41', 1 - 3, Mierzwa J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', 1 - 4, Kuskowski M. ⚽,
50', 2 - 4, Bartkowiak B. ⚽,
61', 2 - 5, Kuskowski M. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 6, Norkowski L. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 13).

Środa Wielkopolska is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Noteć Czarnków's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is the team to beat.

We predict that Środa Wielkopolska will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Środa Wielkopolska won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wda Świecie	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	Września - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Noteć Czarnków - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Noteć Czarnków - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Noteć Czarnków	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.03.25	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:4
10.08.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Noteć Czarnków	2:2
02.03.24	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:1
11.08.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Noteć Czarnków	1:4

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