Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 41

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)


	Ponferradina		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.3	1.82
	4.35	3.45	1.84	Watch
	4.55	3.61	1.85
	4.45	3.42	1.85	Watch
	4.3	3.35	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (4)	3.42 ↑ (3.1)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
21.5%

Draw
27.5%

Albacete Balompié
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

29%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

28.4%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Ponferradina - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Albacete will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponferradina: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (87.45%), project points - 42, currently - 40, already of relegated.

Albacete has the most likely position - 6 (77.54%), project points - 66, currently - 63, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (98%), a chance of promoted (25%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, small importance 14, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2.

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Albacete is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Albacete is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
14.05.23	Huesca - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Ponferradina - Málaga	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Real Oviedo - Ponferradina	3:2 ✺
22.04.23	Ponferradina - FC Andorra	1:4 ✺
15.04.23	Burgos - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLLT
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
14.05.23	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Ibiza - Albacete Balompié	0:5 ✺
29.04.23	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Villarreal B - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.09.22	Albacete Balompié - Ponferradina	0:1
08.05.21	Ponferradina - Albacete Balompié	0:1
20.09.20	Albacete Balompié - Ponferradina	0:2
09.02.20	Albacete Balompié - Ponferradina	1:1
30.11.19	Ponferradina - Albacete Balompié	1:1
25.05.16	Ponferradina - Albacete Balompié	2:1
03.01.16	Albacete Balompié - Ponferradina	2:2

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