Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday


	Real Oviedo		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.30	4.10
	1.65	3.35	4.75
	1.87	3.15	4.31
	1.89	3.15	4.28	Watch
	1.78	3.10	4.10
	1.85	3.32	4.43	Watch
	1.72	3.25	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.57)	3.23 ↓ (3.8)	4.34 ↓ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
50.9%

Draw
28.1%

Ponferradina
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Real Oviedo - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Narvaez M. (G) 2. Ahmed A. 16. Aldasoro A. 12. Calvo D. (C) 23. Gonzalez J. 24. Isfan A. 30. Marco Esteban 28. Menendez D. 32. Perez E. 15. Rodriguez S. 14. Villahermosa D.	13. Alvin (G) 2. Andujar D. 14. Aranda J. L. 7. Calderon C. 18. de Leon J. 22. Hernandez E. 3. Nieto S. 12. Sabroso Lorenzo U. 6. San Emeterio F. 9. Slavy 24. Tounkara N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Aldasoro A. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Marco Esteban ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 🟨,
53', 3 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
61', Ahmed A. ↓, Vidal N. ↑,
61', Cardero A. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
61', Agudin P. ↓, Villahermosa D. ↑,
67', Rodriguez S. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
67', Delgado J. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Chukwuma E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 3.

Ponferradina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Oviedo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Real Oviedo - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
15.07.26	Real Oviedo - Al-Qadisiya	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.05.26	Mallorca - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Real Oviedo - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Real Madrid - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLL
- SD Ponferradina
Primera RFEF Promotion Play
20.06.26	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	4:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.06.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Atlético Madrid B - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Ponferradina - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.23	Real Oviedo - Ponferradina	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
30.04.23	Real Oviedo - Ponferradina	3:2
19.11.22	Ponferradina - Real Oviedo	1:1
31.12.21	Real Oviedo - Ponferradina	2:0
24.10.21	Ponferradina - Real Oviedo	1:2
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Ponferradina - Real Oviedo	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
27.03.21	Real Oviedo - Ponferradina	1:1

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