Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ourense CF		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.17	3.24	3.24	Watch
	2.12	3.15	3.23
	2.19	3.09	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)	3.21 ↓ (3.24)	3.19 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
42.8%

Draw
28.5%

Arenas Club de Getxo
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Ourense CF - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raton A. (G) 10. Camus M. 2. Coto E. 21. Guerrero A. 12. Jelbat A. 24. Moreno C. 16. Munoz D. 17. Ouhdadi O. 5. Prado M. 8. Ramos J. 3. Sanz H. (C)	13. Pena A. (G) 4. Alvarez P. 7. Collado U. 15. Diocou B. 5. Garcia P. 10. Hidalgo A. 21. Sillero J. (C) 23. Sustatxa A. 9. Vazquez A. 16. Verde A. 20. Zabaleta E.
Substitutes
11. Aranzabe A. 6. Castillo N. 26. Comas O. 19. Garcia D. 20. Gueye L. 14. Perez A. 15. Piera J. 23. Punzano I. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 9. Vazquez K. 22. Yuste A.	1. Gastesi O. (G) 3. Herranz Jimenez G. 18. Honrado A. 12. Lartitegi J. 22. Mattheus C. 14. Messina F. 19. Mutilva C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Moreno C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Guerrero A. 🟨,
59', Munoz D. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
59', Moreno C. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
67', Ouhdadi O. 🟨,
73', Sustatxa A. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
73', Ramos J. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
73', Camus M. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
83', Alvarez P. 🟨,
83', Hidalgo A. ↓, Lartitegi J. ↑,
83', Verde A. ↓, Messina F. ↑,
86', Sanz H. ↓, Gueye L. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Ourense CF have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arenas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ourense CF will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Cacereño - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
15.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Ourense CF	3:4 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.10.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WTLWT
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Numancia - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - CD Guadalajara	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ferrol - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Lugo	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLTL

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