Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Referee: Vega A. C. (Esp)


	Ponferradina		Granada

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.37	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.37
	3	3.2	2.4
	2.9	3.2	2.36
	3.14	3.37	2.4
				Watch
	2.99	3.36	2.33	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.91)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	2.38 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
31.7%

Draw
28.7%

Granada
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.6%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Ponferradina - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Granada will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 8).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (7.12%), has project points - 52, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Granada has the most likely position - 1 (10.6%), has project points - 67, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

This event has quality 35, importance 38, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
02.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Ponferradina	3:1 ✺
24.09.22	Ponferradina - Tenerife	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Albacete Balompié - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Ponferradina - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Ponferradina - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLL
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.10.22	Granada - Huesca	0:0 ✺
26.09.22	Las Palmas - Granada	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Granada - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
12.09.22	Eibar - Granada	4:0 ✺
04.09.22	FC Andorra - Granada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWLL

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