The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponferradina 34.1%
Draw 30.7%
Zaragoza 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
30.3%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
29.9%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.
Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zaragoza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zaragoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.8%
59.1%
9.1%
Ponferradina - Zaragoza Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.6% – 79.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Ponferradina has the most likely position - 17 (5.79%), has project points - 54, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Zaragoza has the most likely position - 11 (5.77%), has project points - 57, has currently - 2, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality33, small importance27, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1.
Recent matches Ponferradina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Zaragoza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Zaragoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.
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