Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 14

Date: 1 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)


	Ponferradina		Huesca

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.95	3.05	2.55
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.83	3.08	2.82
	2.7	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.7	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.42)	3.09 ↑ (3)	2.66 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
34.1%

Draw
30.5%

Huesca
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Huesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huesca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huesca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	48.5%	33.3%

Ponferradina - Huesca Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). Huesca will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 48.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.4% – 65.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 22 (11.79%), has project points - 47, has currently - 13, has a chance of relegated (41%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Huesca has the most likely position - 8 (6.71%), has project points - 60, has currently - 20, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 32, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 3.

Ponferradina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Huesca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.22	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Racing Santander - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Ponferradina - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
12.10.22	Villarreal B - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
08.10.22	Ponferradina - Granada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLTT
- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.22	Huesca - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Mirandés - Huesca	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Huesca - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
12.10.22	Real Oviedo - Huesca	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Huesca - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
23.01.22	Huesca - Ponferradina	1:2
02.11.21	Ponferradina - Huesca	1:1
01.02.20	Ponferradina - Huesca	3:1
23.11.19	Huesca - Ponferradina	2:0
20.03.16	Ponferradina - Huesca	2:1
18.10.15	Huesca - Ponferradina	1:1
27.04.13	Huesca - Ponferradina	1:1

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