The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Racing Santander 51.7%
Draw 26.6%
Ponferradina 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
30.2%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
29.2%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Santander's performance.
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
13.6%
13.6%
Racing Santander - Ponferradina Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 54.1% – 91.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 16).
Racing has the most likely position - 20 (6.83%), has project points - 51, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ponferradina has the most likely position - 22 (8.96%), has project points - 49, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 1.
Recent matches Racing is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ponferradina is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Racing is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Racing won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.
Watch
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