Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 35

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)


	Ponferradina		Leganés

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.88	Watch
	2.65	2.7	2.8
	2.8	2.8	2.85
	2.85	2.8	3.08
	2.78	2.81	2.92	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.67)	2.8 ↓ (2.87)	2.91 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
34%

Draw
33.6%

Leganés
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

32%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

31.5%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	42.9%	35.7%

Ponferradina - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (37.12%), project points - 44, currently - 35, a good chance of relegated (73%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Leganés has the most likely position - 18 (20.34%), project points - 49, currently - 40, a chance of relegated (18%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 27, importance 63, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1.

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leganés has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.23	Lugo - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Ponferradina - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Granada - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Ponferradina - Cartagena	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWTL
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.23	Leganés - Cartagena	1:3 ✺
27.03.23	Málaga - Leganés	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Leganés - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Leganés - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.11.22	Leganés - Ponferradina	2:1
21.05.22	Ponferradina - Leganés	0:3
12.12.21	Leganés - Ponferradina	1:1
19.04.21	Leganés - Ponferradina	1:1
29.11.20	Ponferradina - Leganés	3:2
23.04.16	Leganés - Ponferradina	3:0
22.11.15	Ponferradina - Leganés	1:0

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