Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 31

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Reig S. A. (Esp)


	Granada		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	7	Watch
	1.53	3.7	6
	1.57	3.75	6
	1.51	3.85	6.4
	1.56	3.91	7.04
	1.52	4.05	6.55	Watch
	1.53	3.95	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.63)	3.86 ↑ (3.39)	6.51 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
61.2%

Draw
24.4%

Ponferradina
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

27.2%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

26.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.6%	4.2%	6.2%

Granada - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: Granada will win (43 of 48 users predict this - 89.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.94% – 98.22%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Granada has the most likely position - 1 (22.41%), has project points - 74, has currently - 54, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (54%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (22%).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (27.7%), has project points - 42, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (74%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, importance 66, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Granada in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ponferradina is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Granada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Granada is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Granada to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Granada won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
04.03.23	Burgos - Granada	1:3 ✺
27.02.23	Granada - Málaga	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Huesca - Granada	1:1 ✺
10.02.23	Granada - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Villarreal B - Granada	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
05.03.23	Ponferradina - Cartagena	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	Las Palmas - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Ponferradina - Levante	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Ibiza - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Ponferradina - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.10.22	Ponferradina - Granada	0:0

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