Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 28

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)


	Ponferradina		Levante

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.2	1.91	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.93
	4.25	3.2	1.95
	4.53	3.35	1.93
	4.2	3.38	1.91	Watch
	4.1	3.25	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.7)	3.25 ↑ (2.9)	1.93 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
22.2%

Draw
29%

Levante
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

32.4%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

31.4%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	17.6%	70.6%

Ponferradina - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Levante will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (21.14%), has project points - 45, has currently - 28, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Levante has the most likely position - 1 (34.55%), has project points - 76, has currently - 50, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a good chance of promoted (68%), has a chance of win league (35%).

This event has quality 33, importance 65, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Levante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Levante is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
12.02.23	Ibiza - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Ponferradina - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
30.01.23	Zaragoza - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Ponferradina - Eibar	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Tenerife - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTTLT
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
11.02.23	Levante - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Cartagena - Levante	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Levante - Burgos	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Leganés - Levante	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
18.01.23	Levante - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.22	Levante - Ponferradina	0:0

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