Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Ponte Preta		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.75	2.7	Watch
	2.78	2.92	2.62
	3.02	3	2.72
	2.85	3.03	2.61
	2.75	2.8	2.63
	2.86	2.85	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.71)	2.89 (2.89)	2.65 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
32.7%

Draw
32.2%

América Mineiro
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

32.2%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

32.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Ponte Preta - América Mineiro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - América MG (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 22. Thalys 3. Lucas Cunha 44. Marcio Silva 32. Kevyson 8. Andre Lima 20. Murilo 31. Bryan Borges (C) 7. Diego Tavares 11. Luis Phelipe 9. Willian Pottker	1. Gustavo (G) 42. Jhonny 3. Nathan Pelae 4. Rafa Barcelos (C) 29. Dalbert 8. Felipe Amaral 77. Segovia M. 21. Eduardo Person 33. Yago Santos 11. Thauan 17. Gonzalo Mastriani
Substitutes
99. Brandao 14. Danilo Barcelos 19. Jonathan Cafu 2. Lucas Justen 17. Miguel Morais 23. Palacios S. 5. Rodrigo Souza 90. Rodriguinho 6. Saravia Salvia R. A. 38. Tarik 30. Vinicius Ferrari (G) 15. Weverton	16. Ale 2. Emerson Santos 23. Everton Brito 88. Jhonatan Lima 6. Paulinho 20. Paulo Victor 12. Samuel 19. William (G) 9. Willian Bigode 10. Yago Souza
Coaches
Rodrigo Santana	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Rafa Barcelos 🟨,
33', Willian Pottker 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Willian Pottker ⚽, Luis Phelipe (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dalbert ↓, Paulinho ↑,
46', Yago Santos ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
46', Willian Pottker ↓, Brandao ↑,
56', Kevyson 🟨,
56', Segovia M. 🟨,
60', Luis Phelipe ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
64', Segovia M. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
64', Eduardo Person ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
71', Thalys ↓, Lucas Justen ↑,
71', Diego Tavares ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
72', Jonathan Cafu 🟨,
74', Miguel Morais 🟨,
78', Murilo ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
80', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 0.

Ponte Preta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

América MG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ponte Preta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: David Braz (Inactive) Diego Porfirio (Inactive)

There will not play in América MG: Ricardo Silva (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Diego Tavares (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	America MG	32	4	5	23	21:53	-32	17
20	Ponte Preta ✔	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	Avaí - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Ponte Preta - Ceará	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Athletic Club - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLTL
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	América Mineiro - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Tombense - América Mineiro	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Athletic Club - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.09.24	Ponte Preta - América Mineiro	0:2
09.06.24	América Mineiro - Ponte Preta	2:0
07.11.20	América Mineiro - Ponte Preta	1:1
Copa do Brasil
22.09.20	América Mineiro - Ponte Preta	3:1
16.09.20	Ponte Preta - América Mineiro	2:2
Brazilian Serie B
08.08.20	Ponte Preta - América Mineiro	0:1
02.11.19	América Mineiro - Ponte Preta	0:0

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