The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponte Preta 35.7%
Draw 34.6%
Vasco da Gama 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
33.6%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
35.2%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20.5%
56.4%
23.1%
Ponte Preta - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). Vasco will win (votes: 9 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 56.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.8% – 72%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Ponte Preta: Fabinho
(Injury)
Leo Santos
(Injury)
Moises Ribeiro
(Injury)
Ramon Carvalho
(Injury)
Ribamar
(Injury)
There will not play in Vasco: Nene
(Red Card)
Sarrafiore M.
(Injury)
Ulisses
(Injury)
There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Danilo Gomes
(Injury)
Norberto
(Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.