Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	21:30	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Ponte Preta		Guarany de Bagé

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.1	6
	1.55	3.7	5.9
	1.52	3.9	5.5
	1.73	3.19	5.26	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.51	3.9	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.45)	3.8 ↓ (3.87)	5.77 ↓ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
59.6%

Draw
24.4%

Guarany de Bagé
16%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.6%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.8%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Ponte Preta - Guarany de Bagé Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Guarany de Bagé (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Guarany de Bagé (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guarany de Bagé (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 31. Bryan Borges 33. David Braz 7. Diego Tavares 10. Elvis 32. Kevyson 3. Lucas Cunha 28. Pacheco 5. Rodrigo Souza 38. Tarik 9. Willian Pottker	12. Thiago Goncalves (G) 13. Alberte 15. Jean Martim 17. Marcao 7. Marquinhos 19. Paulinho Souza 22. Raphinha 21. Ruan 10. Silas A. 11. Tony Junior 6. Vitor Oliveira
Substitutes
26. Baianinho 99. Brandao 27. David da Hora 13. Diego Porfirio 35. Gustavo Telles 19. Jonathan Cafu 16. Leo Gomes 2. Lucas Justen 11. Luis Phelipe 23. Palacios S. 6. Saravia Salvia R. A. 1. Thiago Coelho (G)	20. Adailson 8. Allan 18. Hiago Lucas 1. Jean Carlos (G) 14. Jean Carlos 9. Lucao 2. Talles

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Bryan Borges ⚽,
59', Tarik ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
60', Diego Tavares ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
64', 🟨,
64', Silas A. ↓, Lucao ↑,
74', Kevyson ↓, Baianinho ↑,
74', Elvis ↓, Diego Porfirio ↑,
75', 🟨,
76', Tony Junior 🟨,
78', Ruan ↓, Adailson ↑,
85', Paulinho Souza 🟨,
86', Tony Junior ↓, Talles ↑,
86', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Saravia Salvia R. A. ↑,
86', Vitor Oliveira ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
86', Paulinho Souza ↓, Allan ↑,
87', David Braz 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

Ponte Preta is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guarany de Bagé is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ponte Preta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ponte Preta is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Ponte Preta - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Guarani - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Guarany de Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
07.03.26	Monsoon - Guarany de Bagé	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Guarany de Bagé - Avenida	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Caxias - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
21.02.26	Inter Santa Maria - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
16.02.26	Guarany de Bagé - Inter Santa Maria	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LTWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
30.10.26	Criciúma - Ponte Preta	✺

Ponte Preta - Guarany de Bagé