Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Pasarón (Pontevedra)


	Pontevedra		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.25
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.2	3.05	3.05
	2.25	3.13	3.32
	2.2	3.15	3.3
	2.14	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.12)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)	3.22 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
41.7%

Draw
30%

Ceuta
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

32.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

32.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Pontevedra - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Pontevedra is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceuta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ceuta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pontevedra will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.02.23	Ferrol - Pontevedra	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Pontevedra - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Celta de Vigo B - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Pontevedra - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Linense - Pontevedra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLTL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.02.23	Ceuta - Rayo Majadahonda	5:1 ✺
12.02.23	Algeciras - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Ceuta - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Ferrol - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Ceuta - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.11.22	Ceuta - Pontevedra	1:2

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