Match Info

WALES: CYMRU PREMIER - ROUND 9

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: USW Sports Park (Pontypridd)

Referee: Kenny R. (Wal)


	Pontypridd United		Newtown

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.26	2.28
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.02	3.35	2.21
	3.05	3.3	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.88)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pontypridd United
30.4%

Draw
28.3%

Newtown
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

27.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

27.2%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Pontypridd United - Newtown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 2. Cummings L. 17. Hunt J. 6. Knott J. 12. Maertins J. 5. Margetson B. 22. Pritchard O. 14. Rees K. 8. Shephard C. 7. Williams D. 16. Wright J. (C)	1. Wycherley A. (G) 8. Evans R. 24. Hughes G. 11. Ismail Z. 18. Jones M. 9. Oswell J. 3. Roberts C. 10. Robles L. 4. Sears R. 27. Smith D. 6. Sutton S. (C)
Substitutes
30. Hutson C. 35. Karadogan J. 10. Lewis K. 1. Morris A. (G) 3. Vaughan E. 19. Young O.	17. Cowans H. 23. Hartley Z. 5. Mills-Evans K. 29. Taylor M. 12. Torry D. 13. Ussher S. (G)
Coaches
Stokes A.	Hughes C.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Recent matches Pontypridd is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Newtown is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Newtown could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pontypridd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontypridd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.09.23	Caernarfon Town - Pontypridd United	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.09.23	Aberystwyth Town - Pontypridd United	0:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
16.09.23	Pontypridd United - Bala Town	0:0 ✺
08.09.23	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Pontypridd United - Barry Town United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTLW
- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.09.23	Colwyn Bay - Newtown	2:4 ✺
16.09.23	Newtown - Barry Town United	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Haverfordwest County - Newtown	0:4 ✺
01.09.23	Newtown - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:1 ✺
29.08.23	Gap Connahs Quay - Newtown	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
16.12.22	Newtown - Pontypridd United	4:2
14.10.22	Pontypridd United - Newtown	1:4

Upcoming Matches