Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)


	Port Vale		Barrow

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4.1
	1.87	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.86	3.31	4.43	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.4
	1.84	3.44	4.32	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.08)	3.33 ↑ (3.24)	4.31 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
50.2%

Draw
28.1%

Barrow
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	10%	15%

Port Vale - Barrow Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Barrow will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 22. Debrah J. 6. Smith N. 5. Hall C. 20. Sang T. 45. Harper R. 8. Garrity B. (C) 24. Kyle John 9. Stockley J. 11. Curtis R. 32. Hackford A.	1. Farman P. (G) 16. Foley S. 6. Canavan N. (C) 5. Cameron K. 30. Jackson B. 15. Gotts R. 8. Spence K. 11. Newby E. 4. Campbell D. 20. Acquah E. 23. Mahoney C.
Substitutes
40. Broome N. (G) 2. Clark M. 18. Croasdale R. 42. Hart S. 26. Richards R. 19. Tolaj L. 38. Walters R.	26. Fletcher I. 33. Pressley A. 9. Smith T. 21. Stanway W. (G) 34. Whitfield B. 14. Williams M.
Coaches
Moore D.	Whing A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Jackson B. ⚽,
45+7', Spence K. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hackford A. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
46', Curtis R. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
46', Harper R. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
68', Mahoney C. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
69', Acquah E. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
75', Kyle John ↓, Clark M. ↑,
75', Sang T. ↓, Richards R. ↑,

Preview

Postponed due to frozen pitch.

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Port Vale will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League Two
22.03.25	Port Vale - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons	3:0 ✺
11.03.25	Colchester United - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Fleetwood Town - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Port Vale - Harrogate Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLTT
- Barrow
English League Two
22.03.25	AFC Wimbledon - Barrow	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Morecambe - Barrow	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Barrow - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Notts County - Barrow	1:2 ✺
27.02.25	Barrow - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
24.08.24	Barrow - Port Vale	4:0
English League Cup
13.08.24	Barrow - Port Vale	3:2
English League Two
02.04.22	Barrow - Port Vale	1:2
16.10.21	Port Vale - Barrow	3:1
20.04.21	Barrow - Port Vale	0:2
26.12.20	Port Vale - Barrow	0:2

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