Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)


	Port Vale		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.7
	2.05	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2	3.36	3.93
	2.08	3.32	3.53	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.6
	2.06	3.32	3.52	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.88)	3.34 ↓ (3.56)	3.62 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
46%

Draw
28.1%

Milton Keynes Dons
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Amos B. (G) 22. Debrah J. 4. Heneghan B. 5. Hall C. 24. Kyle John 7. Byers G. (C) 38. Walters R. 2. Clark M. 11. Curtis R. 9. Stockley J. 19. Tolaj L.	1. Trueman C. (G) 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 26. Lawrence N. 23. Maguire L. 17. Offord L. 11. Crowley D. 34. Tripp C. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. White J. 21. Orsi-Dadomo D. 8. Gilbey A. (C)
Substitutes
40. Broome N. (G) 18. Croasdale R. 8. Garrity B. 32. Hackford A. 26. Richards R. 23. Shorrock J. 37. Umolu J.	29. Hogan S. 10. Kelly L. 15. MacGillivray C. (G) 18. O'Reilly T. 32. Sanders J. 20. Thompson-Sommers K. 35. Waller C.
Coaches
Moore D.	Gladwin B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Stockley J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Stockley J. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
53', Tripp C. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
55', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
65', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
66', Lawrence N. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
70', Walters R. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
71', Stockley J. ↓, Umolu J. ↑,
83', Tolaj L. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
90', Crowley D. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 0, Garrity B. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.

Recent matches Port Vale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

MK Dons is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

MK Dons could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Port Vale will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Foot Injury) Headley J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in MK Dons: Leko J. (Knee Injury) Sanders J. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League Two
11.03.25	Colchester United - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Fleetwood Town - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Port Vale - Harrogate Town	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Tranmere Rovers - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Port Vale - Salford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTTW
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
08.03.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Bradford City - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.10.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale	0:1
English League One
04.03.23	Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0
16.08.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale	2:1
English FA Cup
09.11.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale	0:1
English League Two
22.04.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Port Vale	1:1
02.10.18	Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2
English League One
25.03.17	Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0

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