Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Port Vale		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.6
	1.87	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.87	3.42	4.65
	1.84	3.28	4.58	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.75
	1.85	3.32	4.47	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.95)	3.29 ↓ (3.32)	4.56 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
50.8%

Draw
28.6%

Harrogate Town
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

28.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Port Vale - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 24. Kyle John 6. Smith N. 5. Hall C. 2. Clark M. 18. Croasdale R. 45. Harper R. 7. Byers G. (C) 23. Shorrock J. 19. Tolaj L. 11. Curtis R.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 14. Sims T. 6. Burrell W. (C) 5. Moon J. 20. Bilongo B. 8. Cornelius D. 28. Morris B. 17. Sutton L. 21. Taylor E. 19. Hill T. 25. Cursons T.
Substitutes
40. Broome N. (G) 10. Chislett E. 22. Debrah J. 32. Hackford A. 42. Hart S. 26. Richards R. 37. Umolu J.	2. Asare Z. 10. Daly M. 22. Dooley S. 4. Falkingham J. 30. Gibson L. 1. Oxley M. (G) 29. Solomon E.
Coaches
Moore D.	Weaver S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Cursons T. 🟨,
69', Hill T. ↓, Dooley S. ↑,
73', Shorrock J. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
74', Kyle John ↓, Umolu J. ↑,
74', Harper R. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
78', Sims T. 🟨,
87', Cursons T. ↓, Solomon E. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Port Vale is a favorite.

There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Foot Injury) Headley J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Harrogate: Moorby J. (Inactive) Thomson G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Kyle John (Injury) Stockley J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Harrogate: Daly M. (Inactive) Falkingham J. (Inactive) Foulds M. (Inactive) Taylor E. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.2:0.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Harrogate Town - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 23.85%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League Two
01.03.25	Tranmere Rovers - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Port Vale - Salford City	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Port Vale - Notts County	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Swindon Town - Port Vale	3:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Port Vale - Wrexham	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWTL
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
01.03.25	Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Bromley - Harrogate Town	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Harrogate Town - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Bradford City - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
22.10.24	Harrogate Town - Port Vale	0:1
01.03.22	Harrogate Town - Port Vale	1:1
18.09.21	Port Vale - Harrogate Town	2:0
05.04.21	Harrogate Town - Port Vale	0:2
26.09.20	Port Vale - Harrogate Town	0:0

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