The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 53.1%
Draw 26.9%
Hartlepool United 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
26.1%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
16.6%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-19%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Port Vale - Hartlepool United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 15).
Port Vale has the most likely position - 4 (8.22%), has project points - 71, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 21 (11.83%), has project points - 51, has currently - 23, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Port Vale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hartlepool is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Port Vale have a series of home games.
In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.
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