Match Info

League One - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)


	Reading		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.8
	2.42	3.35	2.78
	2.4	3.55	2.94
	2.40	3.27	2.88	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.9
	2.46	3.38	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.38)	3.34 ↓ (3.47)	2.84 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
38.9%

Draw
28%

Port Vale
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.2%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

27%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Port Vale aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Reading - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Reading (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (G) 39. Ahmed A. 12. Burns F. 33. Williams D. 5. Jacob M. 4. Elliott B. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 32. Lane P. 20. O'Mahony M. 11. Kyerewaa D.	46. Gauci J. (G) 4. Heneghan B. 22. Debrah J. 25. Humphreys C. 2. Clark M. 12. Walters R. 7. Byers G. (C) 18. Croasdale R. 3. Headley J. 36. Faal M. 11. Curtis R.
Substitutes
28. Camara M. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 29. Doyle K. 6. Fraser L. 19. Garcia A. . Marriott J. 25. Stevens J. (G)	. Brown D. 15. Gordon L. 24. Kyle John 1. Marosi M. (G) 14. Ojo F. 26. Shipley J. 19. Waine B.
Coaches
Hunt N.	Moore D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+6', Jacob M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Heneghan B. 🟨,
56', Croasdale R. 🟨,
56', Croasdale R. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
57', Faal M. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
62', O'Mahony M. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
62', Elliott B. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
63', Clark M. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Lane P. ⚽, Kyerewaa D. (A),
71', Heneghan B. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
71', Byers G. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
74', Lane P. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
74', Ahmed A. 🟨,
81', Ahmed A. ↓, Dorsett A. J. R. ↑,
82', Savage C. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Reading: O'Connor P. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Rushesha T. (Injury) Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Port Vale - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 33.16%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League Cup
26.08.25	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	2:1 ✺
English League One
23.08.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	2:2 ✺
20.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Reading	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Reading - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Portsmouth - Reading	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTTLW
- Port Vale
English League Cup
26.08.25	Birmingham City - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English League One
23.08.25	Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Port Vale - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Burton Albion - Port Vale	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Blackpool - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
20.02.24	Reading - Port Vale	2:0
12.08.23	Port Vale - Reading	1:0

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