Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Japan	DAZN Japan
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Birmingham City		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7	Watch
	1.39	5	7.75
	1.39	4.95	7.9	Watch
	1.4	4.97	7.01
	1.52	3.58	7.43	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.41	4.85	7.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)	4.66 ↓ (5.2)	7.48 ↓ (8.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
67%

Draw
20.4%

Port Vale
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

18.2%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

17.5%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Birmingham City - Port Vale Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Port Vale (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Birmingham (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Birmingham City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Port Vale (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Beadle J. (G) 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 5. Neumann P. 41. Cashin E. 23. Sampsted A. 27. Fujimoto K. 12. Leonard M. (C) 7. Doyle T. 30. Koumas L. 17. Dykes L. 33. Ducksch M.	46. Gauci J. (G) 4. Heneghan B. (C) 22. Debrah J. 25. Humphreys C. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 12. Walters R. 18. Croasdale R. 3. Headley J. 15. Gordon L. 36. Faal M. 11. Curtis R.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 20. Cochrane A. 9. Furuhashi K. 35. Hall G. 11. Isichei D. 4. Klarer C. 2. Laird E. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 28. Stansfield J.	2. Clark M. 8. Garrity B. 24. Kyle John 1. Marosi M. (G) 21. Paton R. 20. Richards R. 26. Shipley J. 23. Shorrock J. 19. Waine B.
Coaches
Davies C.	Moore D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Neumann P. 🟨,
39', Leonard M. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Headley J. ⚽, Croasdale R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Humphreys C. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
46', Ducksch M. ↓, Stansfield J. ↑,
46', Fujimoto K. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
46', Sampsted A. ↓, Cochrane A. ↑,
57', Faal M. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
61', Doyle T. 🟨,
67', Dykes L. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
69', Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
77', Headley J. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
77', Doyle T. ↓, Laird E. ↑,

Preview

Birmingham is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Port Vale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Birmingham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Birmingham is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Birmingham: Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Paton R. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
23.08.25	Birmingham City - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.25	Birmingham City - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
08.08.25	Birmingham City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Birmingham City - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWTW
- Port Vale
English League One
23.08.25	Port Vale - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Port Vale - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Burton Albion - Port Vale	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Blackpool - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English League One
07.08.25	Port Vale - Cardiff City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Port Vale - Birmingham City	0:2
27.07.16	Port Vale - Birmingham City	0:2

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