The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 41%
Draw 24.4%
Mansfield Town 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
24%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
22.7%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Port Vale - Mansfield Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Marosi M. (G) 25. Humphreys C. 4. Moon J. 5. Hall C. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 10. Dempsey K. 8. Garrity B. (C) 33. Hall G. 3. Headley J. 11. Hernandez O. 36. Watters M.
21. Lewis H. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 23. Oshilaja A. 20. Blake-Tracy F. 3. McLaughlin S. 25. Reed L. (C) 8. Bolton L. 10. Maris G. 24. Hendry R. 39. Dodgson O. 18. Oates R.
Substitutes
27. Asamoah M. 42. Bussell C. 2. Kyle John 14. Lynch O. 12. McGowan A. 22. Montsma L. 47. Morgan T. (G)
33. Abbott G. 34. Anderson T. 4. Hewitt E. 1. Roberts L. (G) 19. Roberts T. 13. Russell J. 5. Sweeney R.
Coaches
Brady J.
Clough N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, McLaughlin S. (Own goal),
44', Brady J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hall G. ↓, Bussell C. ↑,
46', McLaughlin S. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
46', Oshilaja A. ↓, Sweeney R. ↑,
56', Reed L. ↓, Anderson T. ↑,
57', Hernandez O. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
57', Watters M. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Asamoah M. ⚽,
63', Oates R. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
63', Knoyle K. ↓, Abbott G. ↑,
67', Sweeney R. 🟨,
72', Russell J. 🟨,
77', Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
81', Garrity B. ↓, McGowan A. ↑,
82', Headley J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Port Vale (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mansfield has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mansfield could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Port Vale has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Port Vale has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:27 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Port Vale against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 12:15 goals (averaging 1.5:1.9 per game).
Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now
Port Vale: 0.99% Mansfield: 0.8%
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.34%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Marosi M. (G) 
Humphreys C. 
Hernandez O. 
McLaughlin S. 
Hendry R. 
Montsma L. 
Hewitt E. 
Russell J. 
Brady J. 
