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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 33.7%
Draw 29.4%
Port Vale 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
28.1%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
27.5%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tranmere Rovers's performance.
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tranmere Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
41.7%
41.7%
Tranmere Rovers - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Port Vale will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McGee L. (G) 22. O'Connor L. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 23. Wood C. 2. Norman C. 17. Finley S. 16. Merrie C. 8. Hendry R. 30. Patrick O. 11. Hawkes J. 14. Dennis K.
13. Amos B. (G) 22. Debrah J. 6. Smith N. 5. Hall C. 24. Kyle John 18. Croasdale R. (C) 7. Byers G. 45. Harper R. 42. Hart S. 32. Hackford A. 11. Curtis R.
Substitutes
5. Davies T. 10. Davison J. 15. Garrett J. 18. Jennings C. 12. Mather S. 13. Murphy J. (G) 19. Saunders H.
40. Broome N. (G) 10. Chislett E. 2. Clark M. 4. Heneghan B. 26. Richards R. 19. Tolaj L. 37. Umolu J.
Coaches
Crosby A.
Moore D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Dennis K. ⚽, Hendry R. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Curtis R. ⚽, Kyle John (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Hart S. 🟨,
60', Wood C. 🟨,
61', Hackford A. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
61', Hawkes J. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
75', Hendry R. ↓, Garrett J. ↑,
75', Harper R. ↓, Chislett E. ↑,
75', Kyle John ↓, Clark M. ↑,
82', Turnbull J. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
88', Byers G. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
89', Wood C. 🟨,
90', Tolaj L. 🟨,
90+2', Patrick O. 🟨,
90+7', McGee L. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 2.
Tranmere is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Port Vale is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Port Vale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Port Vale have a series of home games.
Port Vale will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
United-kingdom
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McGee L. (G) 
O'Connor L. (C) 
Hendry R. 
Davies T. 
Tolaj L. 
Moore D. 
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