The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 61.1%
Draw 22.8%
Newport County 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
21.6%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.9%
21.6%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Port Vale - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 24. Kyle John 6. Smith N. 42. Hart S. 2. Clark M. 8. Garrity B. (C) 16. Lowe J. 18. Croasdale R. 33. Headley J. 32. Hackford A. 19. Tolaj L.
13. Carney J. (G) 26. Evans C. 4. Baker M. 6. Brennan C. 19. McLoughlin S. (C) 11. Antwi C. 17. Evans K. 14. Whitmore K. 7. Kamwa B. 10. Greaves O. 44. Ajiboye D.
Substitutes
40. Broome N. (G) 11. Curtis R. 45. Harper R. 4. Heneghan B. 20. Sang T. 9. Stockley J. 37. Umolu J.
37. Bony G. 5. Clarke J. . Davies T. 25. Hudlin K. 23. Jameson K. 21. Spellman M. 36. Webb L. (G)
Coaches
Moore D.
Jardim N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Kamwa B. ⚽,
16', Croasdale R. 🟨,
27', Smith N. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Garrity B. ⚽, Headley J. (A),
33', 1 - 2, Evans C. ⚽, Greaves O. (A),
39', Brennan C. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hackford A. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
46', Lowe J. ↓, Harper R. ↑,
55', Hart S. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
62', Jameson K. 🟨,
62', 2 - 2, Stockley J. ⚽, Smith N. (A),
71', Whitmore K. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
71', Ajiboye D. ↓, Hudlin K. ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Headley J. ⚽,
84', Greaves O. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
87', Jameson K. 🟨,
90+1', Tolaj L. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 2.
Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Newport is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Port Vale is certain favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
Watch
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Amos B. (G) 
Clark M. 
Tolaj L. 
Brennan C. 
Kamwa B. 
Davies T. 
Moore D. 
Jardim N. 
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