The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portadown 32.1%
Draw 26.6%
Carrick Rangers 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
26.2%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
25.7%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Portadown - Carrick Rangers Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Portadown will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Carrick Rangers will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Moore A. (G) 4. Altintop B. 7. Chapman L. 13. Fyfe E. 5. MacKinnon L. 21. Minzamba R. 19. Teelan J. 28. Towe A. 18. Traynor A. 9. Ukek J. 6. Wilson L.
1. Gartside N. (G) 4. Burns B. 6. Callacher J. 19. Crowe J. 9. Gibson D. 12. McCullough L. (C) 25. McKay R. 40. Moore J. 2. Place M. 24. Snoddy M. 14. Steele A.
Substitutes
42. Carson J. 12. Gibson J. 2. Isamala D. 30. Quinn B. 22. Scott J. 14. Tetteh G. 34. Wells B.
20. Cherry K. 33. Donnelly L. (G) 23. Glendinning R. 35. Jeffers R. 29. McCawl E. 34. Olosunde M. 7. Waide R.
Coaches
Currie N.
Baxter S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Towe A. ⚽,
8', Crowe J. ↓, Olosunde M. ↑,
23', Wilson L. ↓, Scott J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moore J. ↓, Waide R. ↑,
56', Teelan J. 🟨,
58', Snoddy M. 🟨,
70', Altintop B. 🟨,
77', Teelan J. ↓, Tetteh G. ↑,
77', Snoddy M. ↓, McCawl E. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Gibson D. ⚽,
85', Chapman L. ↓, Isamala D. ↑,
85', Ukek J. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 2.
Portadown is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Carrick Rangers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Carrick Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Portadown won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now
Portadown: 0.84% Carrick Rangers: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Carrick Rangers
10
4
1
5
15:15
0
13
12
Portadown
10
1
1
8
8:20
-12
4
Last Results with these Odds
Carrick Rangers - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.