Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 25

Date: 8 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Soares Dias A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
France	beIN Sports Max
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Portimonense		Porto

	1	X	2
	9.5	6.5	1.25	Watch
	11	6	1.25	Watch
	13	6	1.22	Watch
	12.47	6.48	1.26
	12.47	6.48	1.25
	12	5.8	1.22	Watch
	11.5	6.1	1.25	Watch
	11	6.2	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.62 ↑ (9.21)	6.2 ↑ (5.34)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
8.2%

Draw
15.4%

Porto
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

17.7%

72%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10%

17.2%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.7%	7.1%	82.1%

Portimonense - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Nakamura K. (G) 33. Igor Formiga 43. Tornich 22. Relvas F. 18. Costa G. 13. Dener 25. Lucas Ventura 7. Jasper S. 11. Carlinhos (C) 14. Seck M. 77. Varela H.	99. Costa D. (G) 23. Joao Mario 3. Pepe (C) 31. Otavio 18. Wendell 16. Nico 22. Varela A. 10. Conceicao F. 11. Pepê 13. Galeno 30. Evanilson
Substitutes
76. Alcobia R. 19. Carrillo R. 20. Estrela P. 8. Fukui T. 27. Guga 70. Martins R. 5. Mvoue S. 10. Pereira H. 12. Vinicius Silvestre (G)	70. Borges G. 2. Cardoso F. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 19. Danny Namaso 6. Eustaquio S. 8. Grujic M. 17. Ivan Jaime 29. Martinez T. 15. Sanchez J.
Coaches
Paulo Sergio	Conceicao S.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 0.

Portimonense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Porto in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Porto is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Portimonense: Estrela P. (Injury) Zinho (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Porto: Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Zaidu (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Taremi M. (Thigh Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 15-50.

Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
03.03.24	Portimonense - Vizela	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Benfica - Portimonense	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Estrela da Amadora - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Portimonense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLL
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
03.03.24	Porto - Benfica	5:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.02.24	Santa Clara - Porto	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.02.24	Gil Vicente - Porto	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.02.24	Porto - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.02.24	Porto - Estrela da Amadora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
08.10.23	Porto - Portimonense	1:0
02.04.23	Porto - Portimonense	1:0
08.10.22	Portimonense - Porto	0:2
Club Friendly
14.07.22	Portimonense - Porto	0:1
Liga Portugal
16.04.22	Porto - Portimonense	7:0
03.12.21	Portimonense - Porto	0:3
20.03.21	Portimonense - Porto	1:2

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