Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 26

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estoril Praia		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.9	5	Watch
	1.72	4	4.5	Watch
	1.62	4.18	5.62
	1.63	4.19	5.62
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.63	4.15	5.1	Watch
	1.62	3.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.74)	4.02 ↑ (3.91)	5.26 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
58.3%

Draw
23.6%

Portimonense
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.3%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.3%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Estoril Praia - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Portimonense will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marcelo Carne (G) 3. Vital B. 13. Joao Basso 23. Alvaro P. 79. Pina W. 7. Vinicius Zanocelo 82. Fernandes M. 21. Gomes R. 10. Guitane R. 11. Cassiano (C) 91. Heriberto Tavares	32. Nakamura K. (G) 44. Pedrao (C) 43. Tornich 22. Relvas F. 33. Igor Formiga 13. Dener 25. Lucas Ventura 14. Seck M. 77. Varela H. 19. Carrillo R. 11. Carlinhos
Substitutes
78. Araujo T. 99. Figueira Daniel (G) 98. Garcia Andrade F. 20. Joao Carlos 22. Mangala E. 9. Marques A. 33. Marques J. 64. Ndiaye M. 2. Parra R.	85. Cassama M. 18. Costa G. 20. Estrela P. 8. Fukui T. 27. Guga 7. Jasper S. 10. Pereira H. 4. Thiago Dombroski 12. Vinicius Silvestre (G)
Coaches
Seabra V.	Paulo Sergio

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 2.

Estoril has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portimonense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Estoril is a favorite.

There will not play in Estoril: Cabaco E. (Injury) Holsgrove J. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Estoril won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
10.03.24	Benfica - Estoril Praia	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Estoril Praia - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3 ✺
25.02.24	Vizela - Estoril Praia	3:3 ✺
18.02.24	Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Boavista - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
08.03.24	Portimonense - Porto	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Portimonense - Vizela	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Benfica - Portimonense	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	Portimonense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Estrela da Amadora - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
28.10.23	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	1:0
15.04.23	Estoril Praia - Portimonense	0:1
30.10.22	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	1:1
12.03.22	Estoril Praia - Portimonense	2:0
24.10.21	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	0:2
14.04.18	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	0:1
04.12.17	Estoril Praia - Portimonense	0:0

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