Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Tondela		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.5
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.72	3.6	4.75
	1.7	3.82	5.16
	1.69	3.73	4.88	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.72	4.65	Watch
	1.72	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.85)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	4.68 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
54.8%

Draw
25.4%

Portimonense
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25.7%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Tondela - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Portimonense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 48. Manso T. 34. Alves R. (C) 5. Afonso J. 60. Maviram E. 8. Tavares H. 97. Cicero 2. Bebeto 11. Costinha 7. Xavier 17. Roberto	1. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 88. Fernandes T. 43. Tornich (C) 13. Kobayashi Y. 4. Relvas F. 42. Diaby M. 10. Chico Banza 81. Ferreira D. 8. Geovane 29. Ruan 9. Monteiro T.
Substitutes
23. Cascavel 6. Ceitil A. 26. Cunha N. 21. Maranhao 9. Miro 4. Pola J. 30. Ramos R. 1. Souza G. (G) 18. Talocha	12. Bruno Guimaraes (G) 28. Duran C. 38. Jefferson Maciel 30. Kim Yong-Hak 5. Mendes C. 3. Mendes F. 11. Paulo V. 17. Silva do Nascimento D. 7. Soares A.
Coaches
Pinto L.	Pessoa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Roberto (Pen),
32', 2 - 0, Roberto ⚽, Costinha (A),
38', Chico Banza 🟨,
39', Fernandes T. ↓, Paulo V. ↑,
39', Ferreira D. ↓, Jefferson Maciel ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chico Banza ↓, Duran C. ↑,
59', Tavares H. 🟨,
63', Afonso J. 🟨,
66', Tavares H. ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
71', Roberto ↓, Miro ↑,
72', Maviram E. 🟨,
75', Bernardo 🟨,
77', Maranhao ↓, Pola J. ↑,
77', Maviram E. ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
77', Costinha ↓, Talocha ↑,
81', Tornich ↓, Kim Yong-Hak ↑,
88', Paulo V. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 3.

Tondela is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Portimonense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portimonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tondela is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Tondela won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:27 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
08.12.24	Vizela - Tondela	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Tondela - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Feirense - Tondela	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Tondela - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Benfica B - Tondela	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWTWW
- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
08.12.24	Paços de Ferreira - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Portimonense - Chaves	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Portimonense - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Oliveirense - Portimonense	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Portimonense - Vizela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
30.01.22	Portimonense - Tondela	1:2
22.08.21	Tondela - Portimonense	0:3
06.03.21	Portimonense - Tondela	3:0
23.10.20	Tondela - Portimonense	1:0
01.02.20	Portimonense - Tondela	0:1
19.08.19	Tondela - Portimonense	1:2
08.04.19	Tondela - Portimonense	3:2

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