Match Info

League Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Chile	17:30	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	15:30	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Mexico	14:30	Claro Sports
Norway	21:30	VG+
Peru	15:30	DirecTV Sports
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	17:30	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Venezuela	16:30	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Porto		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.40	6.50
	1.37	4.50	7.50
	1.46	4.47	7.76
	1.41	4.63	7.7	Watch
	1.44	4.30	7.65
	1.49	4.36	7.10	Watch
	1.40	4.10	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	4.39 ↑ (4.24)	7.14 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
65.5%

Draw
21.4%

Académico de Viseu
13.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.7%

21.8%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Porto - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Porto (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Claudio Ramos (C) 18. Perez N. 6. Smalling C. 21. Prpic D. 52. Fernandes M. 42. Fofana S. 22. Varela A. 16. Hwang In-Beom 33. Souza 37. Gabriel Mec 29. Gimenez S.	12. Soriano J. (G) 21. Domingos T. 82. Gambor H. 2. Michelis N. 57. Gu Costa 6. Ceitil A. 18. Ferreira C. 17. Valery 14. Messeguem S. (C) 47. Gohi L. 9. Bouldini M.
Substitutes
19. Andre Silva 5. Bednarek J. 20. Costa A. 24. Costa J. (G) 8. Froholdt V. 4. Kiwior J. 89. Mide M. 11. Pepê 13. Rosario P. 17. Sainz B. 10. Veiga G. 12. Zaidu	33. Andre Clovis 29. Babic A. 3. Brau M. 41. Correia A. 31. Joao Guilherme 8. Kahraman C. 1. Lavin M. (G) 45. Mestanza A. 22. Mortimer N. 5. Pedro Barcelos 75. Robinho 7. Silva L.
Coaches
Farioli F.	Pinheiro B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Smalling C. 🟨,
39', Gu Costa 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Gimenez S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Smalling C. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
61', Gohi L. ↓, Joao Guilherme ↑,
61', Bouldini M. ↓, Andre Clovis ↑,
61', Valery ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
63', Messeguem S. 🟨,
70', Ferreira C. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
70', Messeguem S. ↓, Kahraman C. ↑,
73', Gabriel Mec ↓, Pepê ↑,
73', Souza ↓, Zaidu ↑,
78', Perez N. ↓, Bednarek J. ↑,
78', Fofana S. ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
90+5', Joao Guilherme 🟨,

Preview

Porto has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Viseu shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Viseu may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Porto has faced a series of away games on the road.

Porto holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Porto has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:1 (averaging 2.2:0.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Porto against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:0 goals (averaging 3:0 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Porto - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.69%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
24.10.26	Gil Vicente - Porto	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Porto - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
14.10.26	Betis - Porto	3:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
10.10.26	Marítimo - Porto	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Porto	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWW
- Académico de Viseu
Liga Portugal
25.10.26	Sporting Lisbon - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.26	Fatima - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
10.10.26	Académico de Viseu - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Académico de Viseu	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Académico de Viseu - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
29.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Porto	0:3
Taça de Portugal
08.02.23	Académico de Viseu - Porto	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
25.01.23	Porto - Académico de Viseu	3:0
Taça de Portugal
12.02.20	Porto - Académico de Viseu	3:0
04.02.20	Académico de Viseu - Porto	1:1

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