Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 5
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Kazakhstan	02:00	Qazsport
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 3
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	TDM TV
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 3
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	04:00	beIN Connect
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+, Flow
Usa	15:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus


	Porto		Glasgow Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.22	7	12
	1.55	4.33	5.5
	1.22	7	13
	1.23	7.18	11.31
	1.63	4.22	4.71	Watch
	1.22	6	10
	1.28	7.11	11
	1.22	6.5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)	6.17 ↑ (4.58)	10.07 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
74.3%

Draw
15.9%

Glasgow Rangers
9.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

19.5%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto's performance.

Glasgow Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glasgow Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	3.6%	5.4%

Porto - Glasgow Rangers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Porto (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Porto will win (50 of 55 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.31% – 98.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 22 - 95.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 74. Moura F. 8. Froholdt V. 22. Varela A. 86. Mora R. 7. William Gomes 9. Samu 11. Pepê	1. Butland J. (G) 2. Tavernier J. (C) 37. Fernandez E. 24. Djiga N. 3. Aarons M. 43. Raskin N. 10. Diomande M. 30. Meghoma J. 23. Gassama D. 9. Chermiti 52. Curtis F.
Substitutes
73. Bras G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 24. Costa J. (G) 6. Eustaquio S. 52. Fernandes M. 27. Gul D. 72. Miranda A. 21. Prpic D. 13. Rosario P. 17. Sainz B. 10. Veiga G. 12. Zaidu	11. Aasgaard T. 18. Antman O. 50. Gentles J. 31. Kelly L. (G) 56. Kerr A. 28. Miovski B. 47. Moore M. 62. Smith A. 5. Souttar J. 61. Stewart L. 32. Wright K. (G)
Coaches
Farioli F.	Rohl D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Gassama D. ⚽, Curtis F. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Mora R. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Moura F. ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Fernandez E. (Own goal), William Gomes (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meghoma J. ↓, Souttar J. ↑,
50', Aarons M. 🟨,
58', Gassama D. ↓, Miovski B. ↑,
58', Fernandez E. ↓, Antman O. ↑,
61', Costa A. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
61', William Gomes ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
68', Froholdt V. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
68', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
70', Chermiti ↓, Aasgaard T. ↑,
70', Curtis F. ↓, Moore M. ↑,
80', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rangers has had a series of home games.

In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pietuszewski O. (Inactive) Thiago Silva (Inactive) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rangers: Barron C. (Knee Injury) Chukwuani T. (Inactive) Cornelius D. (Muscle Injury) Matondo R. (Inactive) Nsiala C. (Inactive) Rommens T. (Inactive) Skov Olsen A. (Inactive) Souttar J. (Injury) Sterling D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Costa D. (Illness) Perez T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Porto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Porto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Porto - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 63.76%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
26.01.26	Porto - Gil Vicente	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Porto	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.26	Porto - Benfica	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.01.26	Santa Clara - Porto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWW
- Glasgow Rangers
Scottish Premier League
25.01.26	Glasgow Rangers - Dundee	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Glasgow Rangers - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
16.01.26	Glasgow Rangers - Annan Athletic	5:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
11.01.26	Aberdeen - Glasgow Rangers	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
07.11.19	Glasgow Rangers - Porto	2:0
24.10.19	Porto - Glasgow Rangers	1:1

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