Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 5
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	beIN Connect
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+, Flow
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Porto		Glasgow Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.22	7	12
	1.55	4.33	5.5
	1.22	7	13
	1.23	7.18	11.31
	1.63	4.22	4.71	Watch
	1.22	6	10
	1.28	7.11	11
	1.22	6.5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)	6.17 ↑ (4.58)	10.07 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Porto
74.3%

Draw
15.9%

Glasgow Rangers
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

20.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto's performance.

Glasgow Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glasgow Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	3.6%	5.4%

Porto - Glasgow Rangers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Porto (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Porto will win (50 of 55 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.31% – 98.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 22 - 95.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 74. Moura F. 8. Froholdt V. 22. Varela A. 86. Mora R. 7. William Gomes 9. Samu 11. Pepê	1. Butland J. (G) 2. Tavernier J. (C) 37. Fernandez E. 24. Djiga N. 3. Aarons M. 43. Raskin N. 10. Diomande M. 30. Meghoma J. 23. Gassama D. 9. Chermiti 52. Curtis F.
Substitutes
73. Bras G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 24. Costa J. (G) 6. Eustaquio S. 52. Fernandes M. 27. Gul D. 72. Miranda A. 21. Prpic D. 13. Rosario P. 17. Sainz B. 10. Veiga G. 12. Zaidu	11. Aasgaard T. 18. Antman O. 50. Gentles J. 31. Kelly L. (G) 56. Kerr A. 28. Miovski B. 47. Moore M. 62. Smith A. 5. Souttar J. 61. Stewart L. 32. Wright K. (G)
Coaches
Farioli F.	Rohl D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Gassama D. ⚽, Curtis F. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Mora R. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Moura F. ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Fernandez E. (Own goal), William Gomes (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meghoma J. ↓, Souttar J. ↑,
50', Aarons M. 🟨,
58', Gassama D. ↓, Miovski B. ↑,
58', Fernandez E. ↓, Antman O. ↑,
61', Costa A. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
61', William Gomes ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
68', Froholdt V. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
68', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
70', Chermiti ↓, Aasgaard T. ↑,
70', Curtis F. ↓, Moore M. ↑,
80', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rangers has had a series of home games.

In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pietuszewski O. (Inactive) Thiago Silva (Inactive) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rangers: Barron C. (Knee Injury) Chukwuani T. (Inactive) Cornelius D. (Muscle Injury) Matondo R. (Inactive) Nsiala C. (Inactive) Rommens T. (Inactive) Skov Olsen A. (Inactive) Souttar J. (Injury) Sterling D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Costa D. (Illness) Perez T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Porto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Porto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Porto - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 63.76%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
26.01.26	Porto - Gil Vicente	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Porto	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.26	Porto - Benfica	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.01.26	Santa Clara - Porto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWW
- Glasgow Rangers
Scottish Premier League
25.01.26	Glasgow Rangers - Dundee	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Glasgow Rangers - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
16.01.26	Glasgow Rangers - Annan Athletic	5:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
11.01.26	Aberdeen - Glasgow Rangers	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Glasgow Rangers - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
07.11.19	Glasgow Rangers - Porto	2:0
24.10.19	Porto - Glasgow Rangers	1:1

Upcoming Matches