The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Porto B 24.7%
Draw 28.1%
Santa Clara 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
27.6%
45.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
27.2%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
0%
62.5%
Porto B - Santa Clara Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Fernandes D. (G) 72. Pinheiro R. 44. Correia R. (C) 73. Bras G. 76. Rodrigues D. 87. Folha B. 62. Fernandes R. 49. Sousa G. 67. Sousa V. 98. Abraham M. 50. Wendell
1. Gabriel Batista (G) 42. Lucas Soares 6. Velazquez S. 4. Pacheco P. 10. Ricardinho (C) 8. Ferreira P. 20. Adriano Firmino 32. MT 19. Almeida B. 30. Safira 70. Vinicius Lopes
Substitutes
46. Braima 95. Cande U. 66. Cassama A. 96. Gui Guedes 78. Meireles J. 71. Meixedo F. (G) 86. Mora R. 54. Ribeiro A. 92. Teixeira J.
18. Ageu E. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 2. Diogo Calila 77. Klismahn G. 99. Rafael Martins 5. Rafael Santos 13. Rocha L. 21. Semedo Y.
Coaches
Folha A.
Matos V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Almeida B. (Pen),
33', Ricardinho ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
45+2', 1 - 1, Wendell ⚽, Pinheiro R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 2, Safira ⚽, MT (A),
71', 2 - 2, Safira (Own goal),
77', Pacheco P. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
77', Safira ↓, Klismahn G. ↑,
77', Almeida B. ↓, Rafael Martins ↑,
78', Sousa G. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
78', Folha B. ↓, Braima ↑,
86', Fernandes R. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
87', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
90+1', Sousa V. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
90+3', Ferreira P. 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto B won 1.
Porto B is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Santa Clara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Porto B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Porto B won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Porto B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.
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Fernandes D. (G) 
Abraham M. 
Wendell 
Velazquez S. 
Cande U. 
Diaz M. (G) 
Semedo Y. 
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