Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 38

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.33	7.5
	1.44	4.54	7.97
	1.44	4.54	7.97
	1.44	4.2	7.5
	1.46	4.35	7.3	Watch
	1.38	4.3	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	4.39 ↓ (4.5)	7.59 ↑ (7.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
66%

Draw
21.5%

Burton Albion
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

20.5%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

19.2%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portsmouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Portsmouth - Burton Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 20. Raggett S. 18. Shaughnessy C. 25. Kamara A. 23. Moxon O. 7. Pack M. (C) 32. Lane P. 19. Yengi K. 44. Peart-Harris M. 15. Saydee C.	1. Crocombe M. (G) 37. Hamer T. 2. Brayford J. (C) 6. Sweeney R. 22. Caprice J. 4. Oshilaja A. 8. Harper R. 7. Powell J. 3. Seddon S. 44. Hugill J. 17. Helm M.
Substitutes
9. Bishop C. 45. Evans L. 13. Macey M. (G) 29. Martin J. 2. Swanson Z. 4. Towler R. 11. Whyte G.	30. Blackman J. (G) 23. Bola T. 21. Carayol M. 25. Gilligan C. 32. Hackford A. 18. Kamwa B. 20. Ola-Adebomi A.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Paterson M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 4.

Portsmouth is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Burton is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Burton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Portsmouth is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Portsmouth to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League One
09.03.24	Blackpool - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Portsmouth - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Portsmouth - Reading	4:1 ✺
13.02.24	Portsmouth - Cambridge United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTWW
- Burton Albion
English League One
09.03.24	Burton Albion - Peterborough United	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Cheltenham Town - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Burton Albion - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Burton Albion - Northampton Town	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Leyton Orient - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.11.23	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	0:2
14.02.23	Portsmouth - Burton Albion	1:0
13.09.22	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	0:2
08.02.22	Portsmouth - Burton Albion	2:1
28.09.21	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	2:1
10.04.21	Portsmouth - Burton Albion	1:2
03.10.20	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	2:4

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