Match Info

Championship - Round 41

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portsmouth		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4	Watch
	2.03	3.26	3.95	Watch
	2.05	3.34	4.09
	1.97	3.37	4	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.9
	1.98	3.26	3.92	Watch
	1.9	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.89)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	3.99 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
47.8%

Draw
28.7%

Oxford United
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.7%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

27.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Oxford United aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	15.8%	36.8%

Portsmouth - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Oxford will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Portsmouth (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 6. Shaughnessy C. 3. Ogilvie C. 7. Pack M. (C) 21. Dozzell A. 47. Caballero G. 36. Chaplin C. 37. Anderson K. 9. Bishop C.	1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 15. Spencer B. 5. Konak Y. E. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 17. Mills S. 33. Donley J. 44. Peart-Harris M. 27. Lankshear W.
Substitutes
27. Alli M. 29. Blair H. 40. Brown J. 26. Bursik J. (G) 55. Dia M. 16. Le Roux L. 10. Segecic A. 8. Swift J. 2. Williams J.	9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 32. Jeon Jin-Woo 37. Makosso C. 38. McDonnell J. 7. Placheta P. 16. Prelec N. 24. ter Avest H. 4. Vaulks W.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Bloomfield M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Anderson K. ⚽, Bishop C. (A),
17', Ogilvie C. 🟥,
21', Chaplin C. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Long S. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
46', Konak Y. E. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Spencer B. ⚽,
59', Spencer B. 🟨,
61', Vaulks W. 🟨,
62', Dozzell A. 🟨,
65', Pack M. 🟨,
66', Spencer B. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
78', Helik M. 🟨,
80', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
80', Anderson K. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Lankshear W. ⚽, Helik M. (A),
87', 2 - 2, Dozzell A. ⚽, Alli M. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 3.

Portsmouth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oxford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Portsmouth is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Adams E. (Inactive) Alese A. (Muscle Injury) Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Murphy J. (Foot Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B. (Shoulder Injury) Goodrham T. (Ankle Injury) Leigh G. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Portsmouth: 0.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Oxford United - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 23.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
03.04.26	Norwich City - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	6:1 ✺
16.03.26	Portsmouth - Derby County	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Portsmouth - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Blackburn Rovers - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLT
- Oxford United
English League Championship
03.04.26	Oxford United - Hull City	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Southampton - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Oxford United - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Preston North End - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.08.25	Oxford United - Portsmouth	0:1
15.02.25	Oxford United - Portsmouth	0:2
05.10.24	Portsmouth - Oxford United	1:1
English League One
02.03.24	Portsmouth - Oxford United	2:1
30.01.24	Oxford United - Portsmouth	2:2
18.04.23	Oxford United - Portsmouth	1:1
25.10.22	Portsmouth - Oxford United	1:1

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