The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuguesa Acarígua 41.4%
Draw 30.5%
Estudiantes de Mérida 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
30.8%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
32.1%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa Acarígua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez S. (G) 66. Urpin C. 27. Moreno Quero L. 33. Acuna M. 2. Benitez G. 13. Navas Barrera V. H. 26. Yepez A. 18. Montana C. (C) 19. Lopez O. 99. Martinez J. 14. Garcia H.
12. Roberts E. (G) 31. Montes G. 2. Gutierez J. 4. Rodriguez C. 37. Vera L. 15. Rivas C. (C) 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 16. Lobo J. 14. Ivey R. 36. Chacon R. 99. Matheus D.
Substitutes
9. Canete J. 24. Lovazzano L. 70. Morillo R. 29. Pena W. 23. Polo A. 22. Reyes J. (G) 7. Rojas R. 5. Soto J. 8. Toussaint R. 4. Trejo N. 6. Trujillo A. 17. Zuniga K.
35. Bravo L. 77. Caicedo C. 44. Caicedo L. 9. Hernandez J. 23. Lacruz Y. 17. Magallan C. 11. Montero A. 24. Moreno J. 10. Pena A. 1. Rojas T. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Gomez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Rivas C. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Navas Barrera V. H. ⚽, Lopez O. (A),
18', Gutierez J. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
19', Yepez A. 🟨,
21', Urpin C. 🟨,
21', Ivey R. 🟨,
24', Garcia H. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Navas Barrera V. H. ⚽, Garcia H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Matheus D. ⚽,
55', Yepez A. ↓, Lovazzano L. ↑,
56', Montana C. 🟨,
56', Garcia H. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
60', Montes G. 🟨,
62', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
67', Navas Barrera V. H. ↓, Zuniga K. ↑,
67', Martinez J. ↓, Pena W. ↑,
69', Caicedo L. 🟨,
70', Chacon R. 🟨,
72', Matheus D. ↓, Magallan C. ↑,
72', Lobo J. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
80', Vera L. ↓, Montero A. ↑,
80', Ramirez Holguin W. S. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
86', Lopez O. ↓, Canete J. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Estudiantes Mérida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Portuguesa
11
4
5
2
14:12
2
17
7
Estudiantes Merida
11
4
4
3
12:12
0
16
Last Results with these Odds
Portuguesa Acarígua - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Rodriguez S. (G) 
Benitez G. 
Martinez J. 
Montes G. 
Canete J. 
Caicedo L. 
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