Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Rio Preto		Portuguesa Santista

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.78	2.58
	2.73	2.68	2.68
	2.82	2.75	2.67	Watch
	2.75	2.63	2.63
	2.73	2.73	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.71)	2.71 ↓ (2.98)	2.64 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rio Preto
32.7%

Draw
33.2%

Portuguesa Santista
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

31.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Rio Preto - Portuguesa Santista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Lucas Xavier ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Now, both teams are in good form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rio Preto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.04.26	Rio Preto - União Barbarense	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	União Barbarense - Rio Preto	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Itapirense - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rio Preto - Desportivo Brasil	4:0 ✺
11.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWL
- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.04.26	Portuguesa Santista - Paulista	2:0 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	EC São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	0:3 ✺
11.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto	1:0

Rio Preto - Portuguesa Santista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide