Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ulrico Mursa (Santos)


	Portuguesa Santista		Paulista

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.15	5.7
	1.57	3.2	6.06
	1.59	3.25	6.34	Watch
	1.62	3.1	6
	1.61	3.22	6.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.69)	3.18 ↓ (3.47)	6.17 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
56.8%

Draw
28.5%

Paulista
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

27.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Portuguesa Santista - Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Penalties (8 - 7)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
7, (Penalty Awarded),
7, (Penalty Awarded),
8, (Penalty Awarded),
8, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg.

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Portuguesa Santista is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paulista is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Portuguesa Santista is the team to beat.

We predict that Portuguesa Santista will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa Santista won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.03.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	EC São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	0:3 ✺
11.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Francana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.03.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Catanduva - Paulista	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Paulista - União São João	3:0 ✺
11.03.26	União Barbarense - Paulista	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	União Suzano - Paulista	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.03.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:1
04.02.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:0

Portuguesa Santista - Paulista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide