Match Info

Championship - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Netherlands	Viaplay
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Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lincoln City		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3	Watch
	2.35	3.40	2.95
	2.36	3.38	2.95	Watch
	2.39	3.45	3.13
	2.32	3.44	3.02	Watch
	2.35	3.35	3.05
	2.31	3.32	3	Watch
	2.32	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.61)	3.38 ↓ (3.41)	3.01 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
40.5%

Draw
28%

Blackburn Rovers
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	43.7%	25%

Lincoln City - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Blackburn will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 25. Elerewe D. 6. Towler R. 20. Elder C. 16. Jefferies D. 8. Bayliss T. 14. McGrandles C. (C) 3. Reach A. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R.	1. Pears A. (G) 2. Alebiosu R. 6. Atcheson T. 15. McLoughlin S. 4. Ribeiro Y. 8. Morsy S. 31. Montgomery K. 25. Morishita R. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 21. Afolayan O. 9. Gudjohnsen A.
Substitutes
4. Coubis A. 46. Gauci J. (G) 23. Honohan J. 26. Konak Y. E. 11. Ladefoged M. 10. Melia M. 19. Olaofe T. 24. Varfolomeev I. 29. Wheatley E.	46. Decandia M. 36. Edmondson J. 11. Fevrier J. 28. Forshaw A. 30. Garrett J. 37. Goddard F. (G) 47. Houghton L. 39. Pates H. 53. Vare F.
Coaches
Shaw T.	Mowbray T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Atcheson T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Draper F. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
61', Bayliss T. ↓, Varfolomeev I. ↑,
67', Montgomery K. ↓, Forshaw A. ↑,
68', Afolayan O. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
69', Atcheson T. 🟨,
77', Street R. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
79', Cantwell T. ↓, Garrett J. ↑,
85', Garrett J. 🟨,
87', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Melia M. ↑,
87', Jefferies D. ↓, Coubis A. ↑,
90+1', Alebiosu R. ↓, Houghton L. ↑,
90+4', McGrandles C. 🟨,
90+5', Forshaw A. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Lincoln has had a series of away games.

Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J. (Knee Injury) Darikwa T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Baradji M. (Hamstring Injury) Jorgensen M. (Hamstring Injury) Kargbo A. (Muscle Injury) Miller L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ohashi Y. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Bradley S. (Knock)

There are questionable in Blackburn: Litherland M. (Muscle Injury) Wharton S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Blackburn: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Blackburn	9	3	3	3	14:13	1	12
15	Lincoln	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Lincoln City - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League Championship
29.08.26	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Blackpool - Lincoln City	1:4 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Lincoln City - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Middlesbrough - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Derby County - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLLW
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
29.08.26	Blackburn Rovers - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Blackburn Rovers - Sheffield United	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Burton Albion - Blackburn Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.22	Lincoln City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1
English League Cup
28.08.18	Blackburn Rovers - Lincoln City	4:1
Club Friendly
22.07.18	Lincoln City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1

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