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Current Win Probability
Preston North End 35.5%
Draw 30.6%
Portsmouth 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
28.5%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
29%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Preston North End's form might have worsened.
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portsmouth's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preston North End, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portsmouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.8%
47.4%
15.8%
Preston North End - Portsmouth Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 69.9%.
13. Cornell D. (G) 14. Storey J. 19. Gibson L. 42. Offiah O. 26. Small T. 8. McCann A. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 21. Devine A. 3. Vukcevic A. 22. Lukovic M. 17. Dobbin L.
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. (C) 3. Ogilvie C. 22. Swanson Z. 21. Dozzell A. 38. Adams E. 10. Segecic A. 36. Chaplin C. 27. Alli M. 40. Brown J.
Substitutes
18. Lewis J. 35. Mawene N. 23. Moran A. 34. Nelson K. 36. Nolan E. 24. Smith M. 15. Thompson J. 2. Valentin P. 12. Walton J. (G)
34. Alese A. 17. Bowat I. 26. Bursik J. (G) 47. Caballero G. 25. Kirk M. 16. Le Roux L. 7. Pack M. 8. Swift J. 2. Williams J.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.
Mousinho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Devine A. ⚽, Vukcevic A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lukovic M. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
59', Vukcevic A. ↓, Valentin P. ↑,
69', Brown J. ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
69', Chaplin C. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
71', McCann A. 🟨,
75', McCann A. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
79', Dozzell A. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
86', Swanson Z. ↓, Alese A. ↑,
86', Segecic A. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
87', Dobbin L. ↓, Moran A. ↑,
89', Thompson J. 🟨,
90', Cornell D. 🟨,
90+1', Alese A. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 9 and 19).
Preston is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Portsmouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Preston: Brady R.
(Calf Injury)
Hughes A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Iversen D.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Portsmouth: Bianchini F.
(Knee Injury)
Blair H.
(Injury)
Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Kosznovszky M.
(Injury)
Matthews H.
(Ankle Injury)
Murphy J.
(Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Thigh Injury)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Preston: Lang C.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
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Cornell D. (G) 
Storey J. 
McCann A. 
Vukcevic A. 
Lukovic M. 
Schmid N. (G) 
Adams E. 
Segecic A. 
Alli M. 
Brown J. 
Valentin P. 
Caballero G. 
Le Roux L. 
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