Match Info

FA Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Deepdale (Preston)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Preston North End		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	9	5	1.38
	6.75	4.6	1.44
	9.5	5	1.36	Watch
	6.2	4.75	1.49
	8.57	4.98	1.37	Watch
	7	4.5	1.4
	9.05	5.09	1.39	Watch
	9.5	5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.2 ↑ (6.73)	4.87 ↑ (4.67)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
11.7%

Draw
19.7%

Aston Villa
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

20.5%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

20.2%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	18.2%	81.8%

Preston North End - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cornell D. (G) 14. Storey J. 19. Gibson L. 16. Hughes A. 11. Brady R. 22. Thordarson S. T. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 3. Meghoma J. 7. Keane W. 9. Riis E.	23. Martinez E. (C) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 5. Mings T. 12. Digne L. 44. Kamara B. 8. Tielemans Y. 27. Rogers M. 21. Asensio M. 41. Ramsey J. 9. Rashford M.
Substitutes
26. Bauer P. 39. Carroll T. 12. Evans C. 6. Lindsay L. 31. Mawene T. 28. Osmajic M. 32. Pasiek K. 41. Stowell L. (G) 38. Tarry T.	26. Bogarde L. 16. Garcia A. 22. Maatsen I. 17. Malen D. 7. McGinn J. 25. Olsen R. (G) 24. Onana A. 14. Torres P. 11. Watkins O.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Keane W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 0 - 1, Rashford M. ⚽, Digne L. (A),
63', 0 - 2, Rashford M. (Pen),
64', Keane W. ↓, Osmajic M. ↑,
67', Whiteman B. 🟨,
71', 0 - 3, Ramsey J. ⚽, Digne L. (A),
73', Asensio M. ↓, Onana A. ↑,
73', Tielemans Y. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
73', Rogers M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
77', Riis E. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
77', Meghoma J. ↓, Lindsay L. ↑,
81', Rashford M. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
81', Cash M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
83', Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↓, Carroll T. ↑,
83', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Mawene T. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 0.

Recent matches Preston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aston Villa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aston Villa is certain favorite.

There will not play in Preston: McCann A. (Leg Injury) Potts B. (Hamstring Injury) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Preston: Osmajic M. (Hip Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Preston won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
15.03.25	Preston North End - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Sunderland - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sheffield United - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Preston North End - Swansea City	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.25	Preston North End - Burnley	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTLTW
- Aston Villa
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Al Ain - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.03.25	Aston Villa - Club Brugge	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
08.03.25	Brentford - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.03.25	Club Brugge - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
28.02.25	Aston Villa - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.12.18	Preston North End - Aston Villa	1:1
02.10.18	Aston Villa - Preston North End	3:3
20.02.18	Aston Villa - Preston North End	1:1
01.11.17	Preston North End - Aston Villa	0:2
21.01.17	Aston Villa - Preston North End	2:2
01.10.16	Preston North End - Aston Villa	2:0

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