Match Info

Championship - Round 39

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Deepdale (Preston) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 2
Singapore	04:00	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	23:00	Exxen
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	16:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+


	Preston North End		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.95
	2.57	3.25	2.81	Watch
	2.62	3.32	2.85
	2.58	3.29	2.77	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.53	3.16	2.77	Watch
	2.5	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	2.85 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston North End
38%

Draw
28.9%

Stoke City
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Preston North End aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	26.7%	40%

Preston North End - Stoke City Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Stoke will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 17% – 68.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iversen D. (G) 14. Storey J. 6. Lindsay L. 16. Hughes A. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 2. Valentin P. 23. Moran A. 21. Devine A. 3. Vukcevic A. 28. Osmajic M. 17. Dobbin L.	25. Simkin T. (G) 22. Tchamadeu J. 26. Phillips A. 23. Gibson B. 17. Bocat E. 15. N'Zonzi S. (C) 4. Pearson B. 42. Manhoef M. 19. Rigo T. 7. Thomas S. 49. Smit M.
Substitutes
11. Brady R. 9. Jebbison D. 22. Lukovic M. 34. Nelson K. 42. Offiah O. 44. Potts B. 26. Small T. 24. Smith M. 12. Walton J. (G)	50. Agina S. 10. Bae J. 29. Cisse L. 34. Fielding F. (G) 20. Gallagher S. 18. Lawal B. 9. Mubama D. 21. Rak-Sakyi J. 12. Seko T.
Coaches
Heckingbottom P.	Robins M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Thomas S. ⚽, Tchamadeu J. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Devine A. ⚽, Moran A. (A),
26', Devine A. 🟨,
34', Whiteman B. 🟨,
39', Manhoef M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tchamadeu J. ↓, Rak-Sakyi J. ↑,
46', Smit M. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
48', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Osmajic M. ⚽, Dobbin L. (A),
60', 3 - 1, Devine A. ⚽, Osmajic M. (A),
63', Vukcevic A. ↓, Small T. ↑,
65', Manhoef M. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
76', Moran A. ↓, Potts B. ↑,
77', Osmajic M. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
84', Dobbin L. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
84', Valentin P. ↓, Offiah O. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 1.

Preston has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Stoke has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Preston: McCann A. (Injury)

There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A. (Injury) Baker L. (Inactive) Bazunu G. (Thigh Injury) Bozenik R. (Shoulder Injury) Cresswell A. (Calf Injury) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Lawal B. (Inactive) Mubama D. (Ankle Injury) Wilmot B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Preston: Gibson L. (Shoulder Injury) Lang C. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Preston won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Stoke	12	6	2	4	18:16	2	20
24	Preston	12	1	2	9	10:25	-15	5

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Preston: 0.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston North End
English League Championship
14.03.26	Norwich City - Preston North End	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Coventry City - Preston North End	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Preston North End - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Preston North End - Millwall	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Swansea City - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT
- Stoke City
English League Championship
14.03.26	Stoke City - Watford	3:1 ✺
10.03.26	Stoke City - Ipswich Town	3:3 ✺
07.03.26	Swansea City - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Coventry City - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Stoke City - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.12.25	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:0
05.04.25	Preston North End - Stoke City	1:1
26.11.24	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:0
09.03.24	Preston North End - Stoke City	1:2
02.09.23	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:2
02.01.23	Stoke City - Preston North End	0:1
15.10.22	Preston North End - Stoke City	0:2

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