Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Swansea City		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	11	7	1.19	Watch
	12.5	6.9	1.21	Watch
	12.67	6.97	1.2
	11.45	5.98	1.20	Watch
	13	6.45	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.12 ↑ (11.45)	6.66 ↑ (5.98)	1.21 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
7.8%

Draw
14.2%

Manchester City
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10.5%	89.5%

Swansea City - Manchester City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Swansea (1.79) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 20%). Man City (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fisher A. (G) 2. Key J. 26. Casey K. 15. Burgess C. (C) 16. Samuels-Smith I. 14. Tymon J. 7. Widell M. 17. Franco G. 30. Galbraith E. 27. Inoussa Z. 33. Idah A.	1. Trafford J. (G) 82. Lewis R. 45. Khusanov A. 6. Ake N. (C) 21. Ait Nouri R. 14. Nico 63. Mukasa D. 52. Bobb O. 10. Cherki R. 11. Doku J. 7. Marmoush O.
Substitutes
5. Cabango B. 20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 29. Farman P. (G) 4. Fulton J. 21. Manuel Hedilazio B. 35. Ronald 23. Santos R. 9. Vipotnik Z.	13. Bettinelli M. (G) 25. Donnarumma G. (G) 47. Foden P. 24. Gvardiol J. 27. Nunes M. 33. O'Reilly N. 8. Phillips K. 26. Savinho 5. Stones J.
Coaches
Sheehan A.	Guardiola P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Franco G. ⚽, Key J. (A),
17', Ait Nouri R. 🟨,
22', Idah A. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Doku J. ⚽, Ait Nouri R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Idah A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
60', Inoussa Z. ↓, Ronald ↑,
63', Ait Nouri R. ↓, Gvardiol J. ↑,
63', Khusanov A. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
63', Mukasa D. ↓, Foden P. ↑,
69', Franco G. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
69', Widell M. ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Marmoush O. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
83', Samuels-Smith I. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Cherki R. ⚽, Gvardiol J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 0.

Recent performances by Swansea have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Man City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Man City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Man City is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Swansea: Santos R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Man City: Khusanov A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Swansea: Cullen L. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1.1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
25.10.25	Swansea City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Southampton - Swansea City	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Swansea City - Leicester City	1:3 ✺
30.09.25	Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLW
- Manchester City
English Premier League
26.10.25	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Villarreal - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
18.10.25	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Brentford - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Monaco - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
10.02.21	Swansea City - Manchester City	1:3
16.03.19	Swansea City - Manchester City	2:3
English Premier League
22.04.18	Manchester City - Swansea City	5:0
13.12.17	Swansea City - Manchester City	0:4
05.02.17	Manchester City - Swansea City	2:1
24.09.16	Swansea City - Manchester City	1:3
English League Cup
21.09.16	Swansea City - Manchester City	1:2

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