Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Swansea City		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.28	3.36	3.16	Watch
	2.33	3.35	3.28
	1.80	3.63	4.39	Watch
	2.24	3.25	3.19	Watch
	1.85	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.85)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	3.57 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
45.2%

Draw
28.1%

Queens Park Rangers
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

28.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swansea City's form might have worsened.

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swansea City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Queens Park Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	20%	28%

Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 13 - 52%). QPR will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - QPR (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 2 - 50%). QPR (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 30. Galbraith E. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 6. Stamenic M. 27. Inoussa Z. 8. Yalcouye M. 10. Eom J. 33. Idah A.	1. Nardi P. (G) 3. Dunne J. (C) 5. Cook S. 27. Mbengue A. S. 24. Madsen N. 8. Field S. 15. Hayden I. 14. Saito K. 22. Kone R. 11. Smyth P. 16. Burrell R.
Substitutes
26. Casey K. 20. Cullen L. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 2. Key J. 35. Ronald 16. Samuels-Smith I. 9. Vipotnik Z. 7. Widell M.	10. Chair I. 7. Dembele K. 12. Frey M. 29. Hamer B. (G) 21. Morgan K. 4. Morrison L. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 20. Vale H. 40. Varane J.
Coaches
Sheehan A.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Burrell R. ⚽, Hayden I. (A),
29', Dunne J. 🟨,
34', Yalcouye M. 🟥,
35', Cook S. 🟨,
41', Idah A. 🟨,
42', Sheehan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Inoussa Z. ↓, Ronald ↑,
46', Franco G. ↓, Key J. ↑,
60', Smyth P. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
71', Burrell R. ↓, Chair I. ↑,
71', Hayden I. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
73', Eom J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
82', Stamenic M. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
82', Idah A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
87', Kone R. 🟨,
88', Kone R. ↓, Frey M. ↑,
90+2', Chair I. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Swansea will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Swansea: Santos R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Walsh J. (Wrist Injury)

There are questionable in QPR: Morrison L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Queens Park Rangers - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 22.28%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
18.10.25	Southampton - Swansea City	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Swansea City - Leicester City	1:3 ✺
30.09.25	Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Swansea City - Millwall	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Birmingham City - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWTL
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
18.10.25	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.04.25	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:2
26.12.24	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	3:0
01.04.24	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1
19.09.23	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:1
21.01.23	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:1
03.09.22	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	1:0
07.05.22	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1

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