Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 1

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)


	Progreso		Tacuarembó

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.1	7
	1.37	4	7
	1.4	4.33	7.26
	1.38	4.3	7.8	Watch
	1.39	4.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.48)	4.19 ↑ (3.86)	7.25 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
65.7%

Draw
21.7%

Tacuarembó
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.5%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

22.1%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Progreso - Tacuarembó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Progreso in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tacuarembó is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Progreso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Progreso is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Progreso to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.04.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	1:5 ✺
22.04.23	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Oriental de La Paz - Progreso	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Progreso - Sud América	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTWW
- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.04.23	Potencia - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Tacuarembó - Bella Vista	1:3 ✺
25.03.23	Miramar Misiones - Tacuarembó	4:2 ✺
18.03.23	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLLW

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