The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puebla 24.6%
Draw 26%
Monterrey 49.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.3%
24.6%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.4%
23.7%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
19.2%
80.8%
Puebla - Monterrey Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Monterrey (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Monterrey will win
(21 of 25 users predict this - 84%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monterrey will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 14 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 6. Diaz N. 2. Fedorco J. (C) 14. Rivas J. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 10. Castillo R. 5. Moyano F. 18. Gamarra P. 11. Gomez E. 19. Marin R. 24. Organista A.
25. Mele S. (G) 2. Chavez R. 15. Moreno H. 93. Ramos S. (C) 21. Reyes L. 8. Torres O. 17. Corona J. 35. Fimbres I. 10. Canales S. 29. Ocampos L. 7. Berterame G.
Substitutes
22. Baltazar C. 27. Garnica B. 21. Gonzalez O. 17. Lozano E. 7. Monarrez F. 12. Moreno I. 4. Orona E. 8. Ramirez M. 3. Rey L. 33. Rodriguez J. (G)
14. Aguirre E. 5. Ambriz F. 3. Arteaga G. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 27. de la Rosa R. 32. Leone T. 192. Moxica J. 30. Rodriguez J. 31. Rodriguez M. 23. Sanchez L.
Coaches
Cristante H.
Torrent D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
30', 1 - 0, Marin R. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
39', Fedorco J. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Canales S. (Pen),
42', Ramos S. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 2, Ocampos L. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Corona J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
46', Reyes L. ↓, Arteaga G. ↑,
46', Marin R. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
46', Moyano F. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
60', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
61', Diaz N. 🟨,
63', 1 - 3, Canales S. ⚽, Ocampos L. (A),
64', Castillo R. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
67', 1 - 4, Canales S. ⚽, Ocampos L. (A),
75', Gomez E. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
75', Gamarra P. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
84', 2 - 4, Baltazar C. ⚽,
89', Ocampos L. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
90+3', Berterame G. ↓, Moxica J. ↑,
90+3', Canales S. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
90+5', Chavez R. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
Puebla is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Monterrey is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Monterrey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
Recently, Monterrey has had a series of home games.
Monterrey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Monterrey: Salcedo C.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Monterrey: Andrada E.
(Elbow Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).