The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puebla 23.3%
Draw 25.1%
Monterrey 51.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.2%
25.9%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
24.8%
47.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monterrey's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
12.5%
87.5%
Puebla - Monterrey Predictions
Users Predictions:
Monterrey will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Gutierrez D. (G) 12. Moreno I. 5. Almada F. 4. Vargas J. (C) 7. Monarrez F. 24. Organista A. 16. Ramirez A. 27. Garnica B. 10. Tomas M. 25. Jurado H. 29. Mustre E.
1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Chavez R. 4. Guzman V. 13. Salcedo C. (C) 3. Arteaga G. 8. Torres O. 25. Pineda O. 18. Garza C. 9. Rossi D. 7. Ocampos L. 99. Cuypers H.
Substitutes
14. Armenta E. 195. de la Rosa A. 6. Diaz J. 9. Hernandez L. 3. Herrera A. 19. Maestro I. 8. Moreno Villegas O. F. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 33. Rodriguez J. (G) 15. Villa O.
19. Aceves A. 5. Ambriz F. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 17. Corona J. 27. de la Rosa R. 11. Fimbres I. 33. Medina S. 10. Orellano L. 21. Reyes L. 30. Rodriguez J.
Coaches
Espinoza G.
Almeyda M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽, Ocampos L. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Cuypers H. ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, Ocampos L. ⚽, Torres O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Salcedo C. ↓, Aceves A. ↑,
46', Jurado H. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,
46', Tomas M. ↓, Armenta E. ↑,
56', Mustre E. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
57', Pineda O. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
57', Cuypers H. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
58', Rossi D. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
61', 0 - 4, de la Rosa R. ⚽, Torres O. (A),
65', Ramirez A. ↓, Maestro I. ↑,
66', 1 - 4, Almada F. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
76', Ocampos L. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
79', Moreno I. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
90', Orellano L. 🟨,
90+1', Chavez R. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 8th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Puebla (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Monterrey has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Puebla could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Monterrey is considered the favorite to take the win.
Doubtful / questionable for Puebla: Baltazar C.
(Injury)
Sanabria S.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Monterrey: Djurdjevic U.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Puebla has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:29 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puebla against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Monterrey
13
6
2
5
23:18
5
20
14
Puebla
14
4
4
6
16:21
-5
16
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Monterrey: 9.68% Puebla: 0.79%
Last Results with these Odds
Monterrey - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.9%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Mexico
South America
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Gutierrez D. (G) 
Almada F. 
Vargas J. (C) 
Tomas M. 
Torres O. 
Cuypers H. 
Hernandez L. 
Medina S. 
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